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This paper discusses an important issue related to filter divergence in the dimension-reduced projection,four-dimensional variational data assimilation(DRP-4-DVar) approach.Idealized experiments with the Lorenz-96 model over a period of 200 days showed that the amplitudes of the root mean square errors(RMSEs) reached the same levels as those of the state variables after approximately 100 days because of the accumulation of sampling errors following the cycle of assimilation.Strategies to reduce sampling errors are critical to ensure the quality of ensemble-based assimilation.Numerical experiments showed that localization and reducing observational errors can alleviate,but cannot completely overcome,the filter divergence in the DRP-4-DVar approach,while the method of perturbing observations and the inflation technique can efficiently eliminate the filter divergence problem. 相似文献
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We conducted a manipulative experiment to investigate the influential factors of locomotor ability in steppe toad-headed lizards. By using a video-base method, we measured running speed of the lizards when they run on sands of different grain sizes. We also considered body condition, tail length and sex as fixed factors to analyze their effects on running speed of the lizard. Results showed that running speed of the lizard significantly differed among different trials of sand grain size. Specifically, the peak and the nadir values of the running speed were found on sands of 0.5-1 mm and 0.075-0.25 mm grains, respectively. When lizards ran on sands of different grain size their running speed changed significantly. Body condition and tail length also had significant effects on running speed. The findings indicated that locomotor ability of lizards depended on both body condition and the external environment. We hypothesized that sand grain size is one of the factors that influence the habitat selection in steppe toad-headed lizards. Moreover, this lizard may be used as an indicator of the development of sand dunes. 相似文献
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未来百年不同排放情景下滦河流域径流特征分析 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
为了研究滦河流域未来百年(2010-2100年)不同排放情景下气候变化对径流的影响,利用ECHAM5/MPI-OM模式在3种排放情景下(A2高排放、A1B中排放、B1低排放)下所做的21世纪未来百年气候变化预估实验得到的数据,应用HBV模型对滦河流域进行了模拟研究,模型率定期和验证期的结果表明HBV模型在滦河流域具有很好的适用性。结合HBV模型和ECHAM5/MPI-OM模式在3种排放情景下的百年气候变化预估数据,结果显示在3种排放情景下滦河流域百年平均径流深度相差不大,但变化趋势有较大不同,年际变化突出。整体而言,未来百年在3种情景下滦河流域的径流深度都将有不同程度的增加趋势,其中在B1低排放情景下,增加趋势显著;在周期方面,A2和A1B情景下,2-9年的年际变化周期较为明显,而在B1情景下周期不太明显。 相似文献
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叙述了RTK技术在沛县新城区图根控制测量中的应用,通过比较分析说明:RTK的测量精度完全能够满足1:500地形测图图根控制的精度要求。 相似文献
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Michel Magny Odile Peyron Laura Sadori Elena Ortu Giovanni Zanchetta Boris Vannière Willy Tinner 《第四纪科学杂志》2012,27(3):290-296
Pollen‐based quantitative estimates of seasonal precipitation from Lake Pergusa and lake‐level data from Lake Preola in Sicily (southern Italy) allow three successive periods to be distinguished within the Holocene: an early Holocene period before ca. 9800 cal a BP with rather dry climate conditions in winter and summer, a mid‐Holocene period between ca. 9800 and 4500 cal a BP with maximum winter and summer wetness, and a late Holocene period after 4500 cal a BP with declining winter and summer wetness. This evolution observed in the south‐central Mediterranean shows strong similarities to that recognized in the eastern Mediterranean. But, it contrasts with that reconstructed in north‐central Italy, where the mid‐Holocene appears to be characterized by a winter (summer) precipitation maximum (minimum), while the late Holocene coincided with a decrease (increase) in winter (summer) precipitation. Maximum precipitation at ca. 10 000–4500 cal a BP may have resulted from (i) increased local convection in response to a Holocene insolation maximum at 10 000 cal a BP and then (ii) the gradual weakening of the Hadley cell activity, which allowed the winter rainy westerlies to reach the Mediterranean area more frequently. After 4500 cal a BP, changes in precipitation seasonality may reflect non‐linear responses to orbitally driven insolation decrease in addition to seasonal and inter‐hemispheric changes of insolation. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献